2015-05-19

Housing Outlook Improves, But Analysts Cautious

First-tier home prices are rising, but analysts are cautious about extrapolating nationally due to inventory in third- and fourth-tier cities.
The latest studies suggest that China will cancel the deposit ratio, releasing about 7 trillion of credit funds. That will stimulate housing prices? Minsheng Securities analyst Li Qilin macro view, relax loan ratio, credit will not necessarily flow. Home prices are subject to population, inventory these two big factors, demand falling, for these the deposit ratio doesn't matter.

Zhang Hongwei

For the property market is concerned, the current sales area and the amount of decline narrowed, has shown a trend of improvement in the fundamentals of recovery, a second-tier cities housing prices will slowly rise, but most third and fourth tier cities prices are unlikely to increase, even in some cities still have to adhere to the "price change" to the inventory.

Director of the China Banking Research Center, the Central University of Finance and Economics

Guo Tian Yong

Real estate market peak has passed, now gradually entering a period of adjustment, the central bank cut interest rates, although it will reduce the cost of real estate funds, but does not lead to a new round of real estate overheating and housing prices. The rate cut is large, for buyers in terms of significantly lower purchase costs will occur. But the market will play a role in an ameliorating.

CRIC Information Group Chairman

Dingzu Yu

Tier cities in 2015 which can guarantee a steady upswing; second-tier cities will also continue in 2014 the trend will still be differentiation serious, such as Hefei, Wuhan, Xiamen and other cities will continue to maintain upward momentum, some cities such as Dalian, Ningbo, Shenyang, Changsha, Chengdu, Kunming, the pressure is huge; the four-tier cities are not optimistic.
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